no-marlins-bailoutDos miembros de Miami Workers Center terminaron detenidos y esposados. ¿Provocación? Pararse y cantar: ‘Good jobs, no stadium’.

La realidad: Los Marlins pagarán $154 millones, el resto, el condado de Miami-Dade y la ciudad de Miami. ¿Estimado? Ahora, gastos públicos de $634 billion millones, y en 40 años, $2.1 billion. Casi nada.

County Manager George Burgess:  especula con diferentes scenarios futuros. ¿Proyecciones? La esperanza de que el tax de turismo regresará en 2011 a ‘24% gain’. La carta de Mr. Burgess con las cifras (PDF) hasta el momento, puro estimado, comparen qué pagan los Marlins y qué pagamos los taxpayers.

Otra sobre el mismo tema y alguna que otra promesa.

En 40 años, uno de los estimados de costo del estadio es de $2.1 billion. ¿Recuerdan que el aeropuerto, de los estimados a lo que terminó costando el año pasado recorrió un largo trecho? No tengo datos nuevos, pero iba por $1 billion más

Frustración aparte, ¿alguien piensa que Miami tiene alguna semejanza con Manhattan? Una cosa es la fachada, otra, vida cotidiana, el espíritu. Falta, voceros de ese Miami, un poquito más de lo que dogmatizan por ahí. ¿Llegaremos un día a insertarnos ‘con espíritu’ en ese Miami-Manhattan? Nosotros, digo, no la proliferación del cemento y los rascacielos. Posiblemente, pero no será hasta después del primer diluvio.

Para ello necesitamos un Moisés y un Noé, y esos, parece que aún no han nacido en el patio. ¿O sí?

Yo soy una optimista conmovida, un poco alterada, no es para menos. Así que espero que los emisarios tengan razón y yo termine por estar equivocada. :-)

Enlaces:

Carta del [Miami-Dade] County Manager George Burgess (PDF)

Miami-Dade Commission begins debating Florida Marlins stadium

The County Commission votes to secure the stadium deal may be there. Yet some of the items require bid waivers, meaning a super majority, or 9 of 13, commissioners need to support those measures in order for it to pass.

The Marlins say they need a new ball park because of a poor lease agreement that offers little in the way of concessions, parking or suite money at Dolphin Stadium on the Dade/Broward county line.

Those against think the chunk of tourist tax dollars that would support the ball park can be better used elsewhere. Supporters say the stadium will create jobs at a time they are needed most.

The Marlins hope to begin play on Opening Day 2012.

New hotel tax scenarios to fund Florida Marlins stadium released

One of the most dire hypotheticals assumes a 16 percent decline in hotel taxes in the budget year that began Oct. 1, far worse than the 9 percent drop posted through January.

A double-digit decline would upend the current baseball plan, which assumes a 2 percent drop this year and a flat 2010.

But the alternate scenario outlined by Burgess assumes a recovery to mirror the 16 percent drop, with hotel taxes surging 15 percent in 2011 — far better than the zero growth forecast for 2011 in the original stadium plan. Even if hotel taxes drop 12 percent through 2010, Burgess shows the plan can absorb the setback.

Under that scenario, his plan predicts hotel taxes will roar back in 2011 with a 24 percent gain in what would be the largest annual increase ever.

Burgess also uses a more expensive repayment plan for the stadium debt to sustain declines in three of the scenarios.

In those plans, the stadium bonds would cost $2.1 billion to repay over 40 years, rather than the $1.9 billion cost forecast in the current plan. The higher interest expense lets Miami-Dade keep payments lower in early years, allowing more time for the hotel market to recover.

 

Race-based construction deal for Florida Marlins stadium crumbles

Curry went on to call the entire process ”disheartening, discouraging.” He said he’d only been trying to make sure ”everyone can come to the table and walk away with something.”

But nothing is simple in Miami’s ever simmering cauldron of race and politics.

On Tuesday afternoon, Miami-Dade Commissioner Carlos Gimenez — a stadium critic — accused the Marlins of knowing the compact was doomed, but going ahead with it to court support in the black community.

Gimenez said the county attorney’s office warned the Marlins weeks ago that the proposed compact would violate the law and put the future of the stadium in jeopardy.

”The Marlins knew very well what they were getting into,” Gimenez said. ”Samson is either disingenuous or incompetent.”